At this rate the Dow will reach 19,800 by November 2010.按照這一速度道瓊斯指數將達到19800在2010年11月。

by AK on November 11, 2009支AK09年11月11日

in Investing 投資

On March 9, 2009 the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed at 6,547.05.在2009年3月9日,道瓊斯工業平均指數(DJIA)收於6,547.05。

Yesterday, November 10, 2009, the DJIA closed at 10,246.97.昨天,2009年11月10日,道指收於10,246.97。 [1] [1]

This rise represents a simple return of approximately 56.51%.這是一個簡單的增長回報約56.51%。

On an annualized compounded basis the return is approximately 93.86%.再加上一年度的基礎上回報約為93.86%。 [2] [2]

If the DJIA continues to rise at this rate then on this day next year it should open at approximately 19,864.98.如果道指繼續上升,這速度,然後在明年的這一天應該開放約為19,864.98。

Just thought you may want to know.只是覺得你可能想知道。

PS: After reading some inane comments I just had to write a postscript. 西蒙茲:在閱讀一些空洞的意見我只是寫了後記。 There is a point to this post: the rate is unsustainable. 有一點是這一職務:這個比率是不可持續的。 I thought that was obvious. 我認為這是顯而易見的。 Some people apparently didn't. 有些人顯然沒有。 Unbelievable. No wonder bubbles happen. 令人難以置信的。難怪氣泡發生。


[1] [1] From Yahoo Finance historical price database.從雅虎財經歷史價格數據庫。

[2] [2] See看見 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest . I used the 3rd version of the simplified calculation and solved for i.我使用的第3版的簡化計算和解決了島 There are 247 calendar days between 3/9/09 & 11/10/09 including the last day.還有247天之間09/03/09和11/10/09包括最後一天。 See看見 http://www.timeanddate.com/date/duration.html http://www.timeanddate.com/date/duration.html

Share and Enjoy:共享和欣賞:

  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Mixx
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • StumbleUpon

Leave a Comment發表評論

You can use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong> 您可以使用這些HTML標記和屬性:>的<a title=""> <acronym title="">的首字母的<b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite>的<code>刪除日期時間<em>的<i> <q cite=""> <strike>的<strong>

Previous post:曾任職務: A Salute To Veterans阿退伍軍人致敬

Next post:下一個職位: “Human decisions affecting the future, whether personal or political or economic, cannot depend on strict mathematical expectation, since the basis for making such calculations does not exist.” “人的決定影響到未來,不論是個人或政治或經濟,不能依賴於嚴格的數學期望,因為依據這種計算不存在。”