At this rate the Dow will reach 19,800 by November 2010.按照这一速度,道指将达到2010年11月19,800。

by AK on November 11, 2009支AK09年11月11日

in Investing 投资

On March 9, 2009 the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed at 6,547.05.在2009年3月9日,道琼斯工业平均指数(DJIA)收于6,547.05。

Yesterday, November 10, 2009, the DJIA closed at 10,246.97.昨天,2009年11月10日,道指收于10,246.97。 [1] [1]

This rise represents a simple return of approximately 56.51%.这是一个上升约56.51%简单的回报。

On an annualized compounded basis the return is approximately 93.86%.再加上一年度的基础上回报约为93.86%。 [2] [2]

If the DJIA continues to rise at this rate then on this day next year it should open at approximately 19,864.98.如果继续上升,道指在这一天,这个比率然后明年应该开放约为19,864.98。

Just thought you may want to know.只是觉得你可能想知道。

PS: After reading some inane comments I just had to write a postscript. 西蒙兹:看了一些我刚写了后记空虚的意见。 There is a point to this post: the rate is unsustainable. 有一个对这个职位一点:速度是不可持续的。 I thought that was obvious. 我认为这是显而易见的。 Some people apparently didn't. 有些人显然没有。 Unbelievable. No wonder bubbles happen. 令人难以置信的。难怪气泡发生。


[1] [1] From Yahoo Finance historical price database.从雅虎财经历史价格数据库。

[2] [2] See看见 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest . I used the 3rd version of the simplified calculation and solved for i.我使用的简化计算第三版本和岛解决 There are 247 calendar days between 3/9/09 & 11/10/09 including the last day.有247间09/03/09和11/10/09的最后一天,包括日历日。 See看见 http://www.timeanddate.com/date/duration.html http://www.timeanddate.com/date/duration.html

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