At this rate the Dow will reach 19,800 by November 2010.

by AK on November 11, 2009

in Investing

On March 9, 2009 the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed at 6,547.05.

Yesterday, November 10, 2009, the DJIA closed at 10,246.97.[1]

This rise represents a simple return of approximately 56.51%.

On an annualized compounded basis the return is approximately 93.86%.[2]

If the DJIA continues to rise at this rate then on this day next year it should open at approximately 19,864.98.

Just thought you may want to know.

PS: After reading some inane comments I just had to write a postscript. There is a point to this post: the rate is unsustainable. I thought that was obvious. Some people apparently didn’t. Unbelievable. No wonder bubbles happen.  


[1] From Yahoo Finance historical price database.

[2] See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest. I used the 3rd version of the simplified calculation and solved for i. There are 247 calendar days between 3/9/09 & 11/10/09 including the last day. See http://www.timeanddate.com/date/duration.html

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