“The way to avoid the ills of the narrative fallacy is to favor experimentation over storytelling, experience over history, and clinical knowledge over theories…Being empirical does not mean running a laboratory in one’s basement: it is just a mind-set that favors a certain class of knowledge over others. I do not forbid myself from using the word cause, but the causes I discuss are either bold speculations (presented as such) or the result of experiments, not stories. Another approach is to predict and keep a tally of the predictions.”

in Epistemology, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Writers

-Nassim Nicholas TalebThe Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (New York: Random House, 2007), p. 84.

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