-Daniel Kahneman
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- “You know you have made a theoretical advance when you can no longer reconstruct why you failed for so long to see the obvious.”
- “When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.”
- “When you specify a possible event in greater detail you can only lower its probability.”
- “The notion that we have limited access to the workings of our minds is difficult to accept because, naturally, it is alien to our experience, but it is true: you know far less about yourself than you feel you do.”
- “…the proper way to elicit information from a group is not by starting with a public discussion but by confidentially collecting each person’s judgment. This procedure makes better use of the knowledge available to members of the group than the common practice of open discussion.”